Before we begin: What is a bust? We classify a bust as someone that will not live up to their hype or draft value. Drafting Christian McCaffery number one overall and having him finish as the # 4 running back, isn’t going to make him a bust. Drafting Miles Sanders in round two as the twelfth running back off the board, and having him finish as RB40, does classify him as bust. Get it? Good

2021 Fantasy Busts will be released in Spring of 2021….The below content is from 2020. 

RUNNING BACKS

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ROOKIE

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: A do-it-all running back taken in the first round by the Chiefs shouldn’t be on this list. Except he is. I am a fan of CEH and do believe that he will be a fantasy asset at some point(s) during the season. However, with Damien Williams still in tow along with Darwin Thompson (talk about being wrong on someone) and a plethora of playmakers they have on the offensive side of the ball, not even Patrick Mahomes can find enough balls to go around. With Damien Williams a free agent after the season, and the team giving a boatload of money to Mahomes and Chris Jones, CEH’s time to shine (full-time) will be in 2021. Right now, his third round ADP is a bit rich for me, and I just don’t see him giving that type of return in his rookie season.

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Austin Ekeler: To save time, I’m just going to copy and past my excerpt from a recent FantasyPros article regarding the “Biggest Trap Picks

“Ekeler isn’t going to bust to the point where we will regret having him on our team, but we may regret using a third-round pick on him. Melvin Gordon may not be there any longer, but Joshua Kelley and to a lesser extent, Justin Jackson, are. Kelley has the capability to be a three-down back, though Ekeler will see the majority of the pass-catching duties. The problem with that is he will most likely not see the same 108 targets with Tyrod Taylor and/or Justin Herbert at quarterback. More than half of his total touchdowns last season came during Gordon’s holdout. In fact, Ekeler didn’t have a single rushing touchdown once Gordon returned. His primary value is obviously in the passing game, and with a decrease in targets and touchdowns, comes a decrease in production.”

Mandatory Credit: Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports

ROOKIE

Jonathan Taylor: I mentioned Marlon Mack as a potential sleeper so it only makes sense that his backfield buddy, and one that is being drafted earlier, will be on the bust list. Teams don’t like spending money on the running back position, and like Damien Williams, Mack is also a free agent after the season. Taylor needs to refine his ball handling and pass protection skills this season so he can be the lead guy next year. In the meantime, he could be on the lesser side of a timeshare, as they use Mack as much as they can before they let him walk.

WIDE RECEIVERS

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Mike Evans: Someone has to decline with Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski there, and I believe it is going to be Evans. Still being drafted as a top 10 wide receiver, despite having a 43 year old quarterback, a better running game, and Brady’s favorite target in the mix. More importantly, if you had him on your team in the past, especially last season, you know how frustrating he could be. Evans had 5 weeks of stellar fantasy production. The rest of the time, you probably lost some close games that you would’ve won if he was even decent. Depending on how the season is going for Tampa Bay, I wouldn’t be surprised if Evans is traded at some point.

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DeAndre Hopkins: I know, I know. By no means does this mean that you shouldn’t draft Hopkins. Having him here is simply to warn you to lower your expectations on him. I’m aware that he has put up big numbers with far less talented quarterbacks, but he also didn’t have Larry Fitzgerald, Christian Kirk and Kenyan Drake on those teams. He also wasn’t entering that season with little practice time in a new system. He’ll still be a WR1, but he is now in that second tier, with players that can be had a full round later.

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Cooper Kupp: Robert Woods is being drafted two rounds later, and makes for the more logical choice of Rams’ receivers. The targets will still be there, but I expect touchdown regression for Kupp, while the opposite for Woods. If Kupp was going in the 5th instead of the third, he wouldn’t be on this list.

TIGHT ENDS

(Atlantafalcons.com)

Austin Hooper: Don’t expect the same production in Cleveland that he had in Atlanta last season. Atalanta struggled running the ball, which forced them to rely more on Hooper, but Cleveland has two great backs and he most likely won’t be needed as much. We can’t ignore the quarterback either. Baker Mayfield is not as good as Matt Ryan. Plain and simple.

Creator: Matt Slocum
Copyright: Copyright 2018 The Associated Press

Zach Ertz: There might not be a bigger Ertz fan than me, and he will still be a top 5 tight end, but I’m not paying a third round price for him. Dallas Goedert is getting more involved in the offense, and you can get another tight end in the same tier a few rounds later.

QUARTERBACKS

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Lamar Jackson: NO, HE IS NOT A BUST. I REPEAT, HE IS NOT A BUST…But he won’t finish as the QB1 either.

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